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A Survey on Business Cycle Theory

Chen Kunting

(CCER, Shandong University)

Liutang Gong

(Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, Biejing, 100871, China)

Abstract: RBC model has been widely used in every field of economics and finance. With the development of econometric technology, the business-cycle theory has gotten great breakthrough since 80s of last century. The genesis work belongs to Kydland and Prescott (1982), they built the Real Business Cycle Theory Model (RBC), which based on the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium theory and integrated the supply and demand theory, monetary shocks, government fiscal policy, market and information, psychology (sunspots model), behavior (animal spirit) et al. Also, the transmission mechanism has been changed from exogenous assumptions into endogenous determined. These developments have greatly improved the ability of explanation and prediction to economy. This paper simply summarizes the developing history and frontier researches of the business cycle theory.

Key Word: Business cycle, volatility

JEL Classification: E200, E300.

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